Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 15.490196 18.077542 20.895617 24.184137 27.907034 31.981503 36.768481
2025-02-16 10.737658 14.177812 18.320516 23.632735 30.215278 38.052506 48.032541
2025-02-23 8.037665 11.742525 16.579739 23.257801 32.122501 43.358185 58.527266
2025-03-02 6.329300 10.092518 15.356568 23.085040 33.936382 48.395300 68.833511
2025-03-09 5.110232 8.822561 14.346185 22.906066 35.520872 53.057991 78.818355
2025-03-16 3.897999 7.293555 12.667466 21.448917 35.009117 54.636550 84.526562
2025-03-23 3.415301 6.828387 12.508330 22.192533 37.708172 60.882830 97.169693
2025-03-30 3.079458 6.542766 12.575019 23.258213 40.940992 68.088228 111.631948
2025-04-06 2.550104 5.798324 11.747826 22.729509 41.554370 71.312808 120.274593
2025-04-13 2.037228 4.976436 10.650346 21.578923 40.991687 72.595481 125.928813
2025-04-20 1.891759 4.873277 10.854916 22.736908 44.388149 80.379421 142.211269
2025-04-27 1.806415 4.882075 11.268999 24.307253 48.603180 89.732296 161.493185
2025-05-04 1.566438 4.515005 10.925034 24.488602 50.510841 95.610245 175.878635
2025-05-11 1.332056 4.112609 10.456766 24.392320 51.943353 100.853031 189.676915
2025-05-18 1.120622 3.713307 9.926602 24.096043 52.956425 105.414715 202.578350
2025-05-25 0.952620 3.383507 9.493141 23.935113 54.192006 110.421645 216.501904
2025-06-01 0.810102 3.084983 9.078889 23.753802 55.350617 115.335429 230.504123
2025-06-08 0.626940 2.605322 8.130969 22.250901 53.670529 114.857056 234.805511
2025-06-15 0.572251 2.519920 8.171481 23.018368 56.759497 123.538367 256.183440
2025-06-22 0.535823 2.486732 8.344933 24.117886 60.636603 133.945760 281.245320
2025-06-29 0.445991 2.232826 7.866955 23.572439 60.894118 137.308767 293.310426
2025-07-06 0.352165 1.925673 7.172812 22.385210 59.604253 137.498113 299.338189
2025-07-13 0.335365 1.925395 7.392016 23.580073 63.808750 148.988798 327.620907